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Trading Performance 2017-2018


EUR/USD News & Analysis

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Annual inflation rate in the United Kingdom was flat at 2.4% in October of 2018, the same as in September but below market expectations of 2.5%. Prices slowed for transport and food but rose faster for housing and utilities and recreation and culture.

Year-on-year, prices rose at a slower pace for transport (5.4% vs 5.6% in September), restaurants and hotels (2.4% vs 2.5%), and food and non-alcoholic beverages (0.9% vs 1.5%, the lowest since February of 2017). Prices declined more for clothing and footwear (-1.1% compared to -0.4%) and were unchanged for miscellaneous goods and services (vs -0.3%). On the other hand, inflation accelerated for recreation and culture (3.2% vs 3%); housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels (2.9% vs 2.7%), namely gas (7.6% vs 5.5%); and furniture, household equipment and maintenance (0.7% vs 0.5%).

The consumer prices index including owner occupiers’ housing costs rose by 2.2% in October, the same as in September.

The annual core inflation rate, which excludes prices of energy, food, alcohol and tobacco, was flat at 1.9%, the same as in September and in line with market expectations.

The dollar reached a 16-month high against a basket of currencies as investors built bets on a Federal Reserve interest rate increase next month, and political risks in Europe which put pressure on the euro and the pound. Fears about a no-deal Brexit and a growing rift in Europe over Italy's budget have also boosted the dollar. The greenback has rebounded from losses tied to the view that U.S. elections last Tuesday, which produced a split control of Congress, would reduce chances of more fiscal stimulus measures. The dollar's bounce has been underpinned by the Fed's signal that it would hike key lending rates further as U.S. economic expansion remains on track.

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