AUD/USD

AUD/USD's rally off December's low remains intact but has stalled for now and upcoming key risks should determine whether the rising trend begins anew or enters a correction. Australian Q4 CPI is due tonight and should be a big factor in determining the rally's fate.

CPI is expected to increase over the prior Q3 reading. An inline expectation should keep AUD relatively bid but bulls hope for an upside surprise. A forecast-beating result would probably lead AUD/USD to extend its rally to new highs as the market will expect the RBA adopt a hawkish tone, thus pulling forward rate hike expectations.

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