ADP National Employment Report showed private payrolls jumped by 230k jobs in September, the largest gain since February, after increasing 168k in August.

Last month's rise beat market expectations for a 185k increase. The ADP report was published ahead of the more comprehensive employment report for September due on Friday.

We forecast nonfarm payrolls likely increased by 180k in September after surging 201k in August. The unemployment rate is forecast to fall one-tenth of a percentage point to 3.8%, an 18-year low first hit in May.

While the ADP report has a poor record predicting the private-payrolls component of the government's employment report, last month's jump underscored robust labor market conditions that should underpin consumer spending.

The ADP report showed construction payrolls rose by 34k jobs last month, accelerating from 3k in August. The services sector added 184k jobs in September, led by the professional and health services. Services sector employment increased by 145k jobs in August. is an independent macroeconomic consultancy with thousands of subscribers all over the world. We provide fundamental research to help our clients make better investing decisions. Our subscribers should expect to get access to:

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