The first regular FOMC meeting of the new year ends today. It is also the final meeting for Chair Janet Yellen before she hands over the leadership of the committee to Jerome Powell.

UK real GDP growth accelerated to 0.5% qoq (1.5% yoy) in the fourth quarter of 2017. It’s an acceleration from growth of 0.4% qoq in the third quarter of 2017 and an average of 0.3% qoq in the first half of 2017, but below the UK’s long-run average growth rate of around 0.6%-0.7% qoq. The print beat prior expectations. Annual GDP growth was 1.8% in 2017, slightly below growth of 1.9% in 2016.

The outlook for the UK economy remains weak and real GDP growth in 2018 is likely to be below that of 2017. There are three main reasons why we expect a slowdown: is an independent macroeconomic consultancy with thousands of subscribers all over the world. We provide fundamental research to help our clients make better investing decisions. Our subscribers should expect to get access to:

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Different asset classes sectors tend to perform better than others at different phases of the economic cycle. We estimate current phase of the economic cycle and the Investment Clock shows which asset classes have historically outperformed in current phase of the economic cycle according to our research.

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